Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Jumlah Angakatan Kerja dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Indonesia
Keywords:
Angkatan Kerja, IPM, Pengangguran TerbukaAbstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh jumlah angkatan kerja dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) terhadap tingkat pengangguran terbuka di Indonesia. Pengangguran terbuka masih menjadi salah satu indikator penting dalam menilai efektivitas pasar tenaga kerja, terutama ketika pertumbuhan angkatan kerja tidak sejalan dengan kapasitas penyerapan tenaga kerja. Penelitian ini menggunakan data time series yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik serta menerapkan analisis regresi linier berganda untuk menilai hubungan parsial dan simultan kedua variabel independen. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa jumlah angkatan kerja memiliki pengaruh signifikan dan cenderung meningkatkan tingkat pengangguran terbuka. Sebaliknya, IPM memberikan pengaruh signifikan negatif, yang menandakan bahwa peningkatan kualitas sumber daya manusia berkontribusi terhadap penurunan pengangguran. Secara simultan, kedua variabel terbukti memengaruhi tingkat pengangguran terbuka secara signifikan. Temuan ini menegaskan pentingnya integrasi kebijakan peningkatan kualitas SDM dan pengembangan lapangan kerja produktif.
References
Cerqueira-silva, T., Paixao, E. S., Falcao, I. R., Guimarães, J. M. N., Rodrigues, L. C., Barbieri, A., & Ababukar, I. (2025). Articles Perinatal health outcomes of offspring of internal migrant women according to human development index : a registry- based cohort study of over 10 million live births from Brazil. The Lancet Regional Health - Americas, 43, 101020. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lana.2025.101020
Clarke, A. J., Christensen, M., Balabanski, A. H., Dos, A., Gumbaynggirr, S., Ng, P. A. B., Yuin, A. B., Ng, M. H., Storm, C., Sámi, M., Warne, D. K., Lakota, O., Ahmed, M., Katzenellenbogen, J. M., Withall, A., Yuin, D., Radford, K., & Brodtmann, A. G. (2024). Review Prevalence of dementia among Indigenous populations of countries with a very high Human Development Index : a systematic review. 5(December), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanhl.2024.100658
Gao, F., Peng, B., Zhao, Y., & Wei, G. (2026). Tech for Good : The employment effects of policy-driven artificial intelligence development. International Review of Economics and Finance, 105(September 2025), 104807. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104807
Kuldasheva, Z., & Ahmad, M. (2025). Asia and the Global Economy Empowering economic growth through female labor force participation in central Asia : Evidence from regression and dynamic analyses. Asia and the Global Economy, 5(2), 100115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2025.100115
Kuo, M., & Roscigno, V. J. (2025a). Research in Social Stratification and Mobility Labor force attachment , college majors , and the gender earnings gap. 100(November).
Kuo, M., & Roscigno, V. J. (2025b). Research in Social Stratification and Mobility Labor force attachment , college majors , and the gender earnings gap. Research in Social Stratification and Mobility, 100(November), 101107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rssm.2025.101107
Liang, Y., & Zhai, Y. (2025). Acta Psychologica The impact of artificial intelligence impact awareness on college students ’ employment risk perception : A moderated mediation model. Acta Psychologica, 261(September), 105808. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actpsy.2025.105808
Magazzino, C., Mele, M., & Mutascu, M. (2025). An artificial neural network experiment on the prediction of the unemployment rate. Journal of Policy Modeling, 47(3), 471–491. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2024.10.004
Mburamatare, D., Maniriho, A., Akumuntu, J., & Rukeratabaro, A. (2025). Financial inclusion and economic development in selected east African countries : A human development index approach. Finance Research Open, 1(4), 100060. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finr.2025.100060
Moridian, A., Radulescu, M., Kumar, P., & Tatiana, M. (2024). Heliyon New insights on immigration , fiscal policy and unemployment rate in EU countries – A quantile regression approach. Heliyon, 10(13), e33519. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e33519
Nababan, T. S., & Purba, E. F. (2023). Labour Absorption In Manufacturing Industry In Indonesia: Anomalous And Regressive Phenomena. Asean Internatonal Journal of Business, 1(1), 60.
Nashih, M., Primandari, N. R., Muthmainnah, Siregar, S. E., & Utam, T. W. (2024). INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA (IPM) DALAM MEMEDIASI PENGARUH TINGKAT PENDIDIKAN DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN DI PULAU KALIMANTAN Muhammad. Edunomika, 08(02), 1–11.
Raymond, W., Sheikomar, O., Ghattas, H., & Sahyoun, N. (2025). Social Science & Medicine The association of individual food security status with women ’ s political participation , labor-force participation , and reproductive health : A cross-sectional analysis of gendered structural inequality in the League of Arab States. Social Science & Medicine, 384(April), 118555. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.118555
Sisnita, A. (2017). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Provinsi Lampung ( Periode 2009-2015 ) Pendahuluan Metode Penelitian. 1, 1–7.
Souitaris, V., Nicolaou, N., Waters, J., Shepherd, D., & Hashem, N. (2026). Does self-employment increase stress ? A co-twin control analysis of Finnish and US twins. Journal of Business Venturing, 41(1), 106556. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2025.106556
Wooldridge, J. M. (n.d.). Introductory Econometrics.
Wu, Y., Li, J., & Deng, X. (2025). Technology-driven green governance in low-carbon cities : policy innovation and employment effects. Journal of Innovation & Knowledge, 10(6), 100823. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jik.2025.100823
Yoertiara, R. F., & Feriyanto, N. (2022). Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi, IPM, dan tingkat pengangguran terbuka terhadap ketimpangan pendapatan provinsi-provinsi di pulau Jawa. Jurnal Kebijakan Ekonomi Dan Keuangan, 1(1), 92–100. https://doi.org/10.20885/jkek.vol1.iss1.art9
Zhekiel, S., Kamila, T. safa, Dwita, Z. P., Haerunisa, D. S., Fathin, S. C., Agustianti, A. I., Maharani, S., Fetya, A., & Desmawan, D. (2025). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Terhadap Pengangguran Terbuka di Provinsi Banten. Bursa: Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 4(3), 111–120.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Rima Nur Rahma, Lia Febriani, M Bagus Maulana, Alief Rakhman Setyanto
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
